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Red51
223133.7
321118.3
565414.2
Blue10
471210.7
15803.9
432025.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310102040506070805110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.5
10.011.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 8.4
25.31.9
16.814.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
3211
#29
18.31.5
16.317.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 7.6
4712
#45
10.71.9
10.38.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
5654
#49
14.21.5
6.88.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 10.3
1580
#52
3.91.9
6.24.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0