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Red79
169028.8
194217.9
194419.8
Blue84
474419.2
303418.3
306527.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374201001502007984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#6Sur
28.84.3
17.822.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
3065
#11
27.74.0
16.420.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
1944
#21
19.84.3
9.513.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
4744
#22Sur
19.24.0
15.719.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
1942
#31
17.94.3
11.615.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3034
#30
18.34.0
10.314.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0