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Red35
475712.7
561412.9
458626.0
Blue50
223133.7
307511.9
194623.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310102040506070803550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#12
26.00.1
12.412.6
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 7.7
33.71.5
11.513.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
5614
#41
12.90.1
10.210.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 10.7
1946
#16
23.61.5
12.513.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
4757
#35
12.70.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
3075
#40
11.91.5
8.29.7
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0