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Red4
513510.2
331624.3
333952.0
Blue10
157727.8
221613.0
56363.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53230100150410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.03.4
23.119.7
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 24.2
1577
#13
27.80.4
12.713.2
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
3316
#20
24.33.4
14.811.4
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 11.3
2216
#47
13.00.4
7.37.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5135
#43
10.23.4
12.89.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 6.8
5636
#53
3.40.4
8.89.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0