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Qual 272015 Israel Regional
Red18
440614.2
471210.7
478422.1
Blue4
43382.7
308315.6
195411.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233406080100120140160184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4784
#15
22.10.1
7.8→7.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 6.5
3083
#38
15.62.4
8.7→6.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
4406
#25
14.20.1
9.6→9.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
1954
#36
11.52.4
14.6→12.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4712
#45
10.70.1
8.3→8.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
4338
#55
2.72.4
9.9→7.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0