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Red16
194419.8
440614.2
56363.4
Blue15
169028.8
478422.1
565414.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30410501001501615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1944
#21
19.80.9
13.913.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 9.0
28.82.1
22.220.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
4406
#25
14.20.9
9.58.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4784
#15
22.12.1
7.65.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
5636
#53
3.40.9
9.28.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 10.8
5654
#49
14.22.1
10.88.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0