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Red84
333952.0
157615.9
441610.8
Blue0
43382.7
383516.7
471210.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33230406080100120840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.04.8
19.724.5
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 35.2
3835
#32
16.71.1
9.88.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
1576
#28
15.94.8
6.311.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
4712
#45
10.71.1
8.27.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
4416
#46
10.84.8
6.811.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
4338
#55
2.71.1
7.56.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0