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Red16
194623.6
57472.6
527310.7
Blue10
464911.2
474419.2
221613.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330102040506070801610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
#16
23.61.0
13.913.0
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
4744
#22
19.22.1
19.717.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
5273
#48
10.71.0
9.68.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2216
#47
13.02.1
7.75.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5747
#54
2.61.0
10.39.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 8.6
4649
#42
11.22.1
7.75.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.2
End0.0