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Red40
194217.9
195215.7
321118.3
Blue48
307511.9
308315.6
567012.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4625060801001201404048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#29
18.30.4
15.615.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
3083
#38
15.62.6
6.38.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
1942
#31
17.90.4
15.915.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
5670
#33
12.12.6
13.115.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
1952
#34
15.70.4
13.112.7
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
3075
#40
11.92.6
9.712.3
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0