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Red14
221318.8
464911.2
195411.5
Blue8
56363.4
46614.9
194317.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020253035148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2213
#19
18.81.7
12.811.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 1.6
1943
#26
17.22.2
16.514.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
1954
#36
11.51.7
15.613.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 6.5
4661
#51
4.92.2
9.06.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
Third
4649
#42
11.21.7
5.64.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 7.8
5636
#53
3.42.2
8.46.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0