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Red51
306527.7
565414.2
513510.2
Blue24
195215.7
474419.2
383516.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380501001502005124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#11
27.71.2
18.619.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 8.6
4744
#22
19.20.8
17.616.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
5654
#49
14.21.2
8.79.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3835
#32
16.70.8
8.77.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5135
#43
10.21.2
9.911.1
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1952
#34
15.70.8
12.711.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0