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Red107
459012.0
223133.7
432025.3
Blue78
194217.9
431914.7
157727.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4737020608010012014010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.75.5
21.026.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 6.0
1577
#13
27.83.7
18.422.1
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
25.35.5
17.723.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
1942
#31
17.93.7
14.317.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4590
#44
12.05.5
8.313.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4319
#27
14.73.7
7.010.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0