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Red58
529122.6
303418.3
338822.7
Blue91
478422.1
223018.8
458626.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325101001502005891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#17
22.72.8
8.010.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4586
#12
26.03.4
20.924.4
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
22.62.8
15.718.5
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
4784
#15
22.13.4
12.115.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
3034
#30
18.32.8
12.315.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2230
#24
18.83.4
16.620.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0