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Red46
529122.6
383516.7
321118.3
Blue42
195411.5
459012.0
194419.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060801001201404642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
18.518.7
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 2.8
1944
#21
19.80.0
16.516.5
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
3211
#29
18.30.2
15.515.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 6.3
4590
#44
12.00.0
13.813.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
3835
#32
16.70.2
9.79.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
1954
#36
11.50.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0