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Red28
431914.7
221222.7
195215.7
Blue3
57472.6
303418.3
43382.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422306080100120140283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#10
22.71.0
14.413.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3034
#30
18.31.5
15.113.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
1952
#34
15.71.0
15.314.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 13.0
4338
#55
2.71.5
4.73.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Third
4319
#27
14.71.0
10.79.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 12.1
5747
#54
2.61.5
6.65.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0