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Red14
474419.2
307511.9
56363.4
Blue18
432025.3
15737.7
567012.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345201001501418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#22
19.22.0
19.217.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 6.1
25.32.3
23.220.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
3075
#40
11.92.0
13.211.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5670
#33
12.12.3
18.215.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5636
#53
3.42.0
5.73.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1573
#50
7.72.3
10.17.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0