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Red30
561412.9
563512.4
331624.3
Blue38
267917.9
221318.8
475712.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354401001503038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#20
24.30.7
17.116.5
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 5.6
2213
#19
18.80.5
14.513.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
5614
#41
12.90.7
12.812.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2679
#18
17.90.5
17.416.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5635
#39
12.40.7
7.97.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4757
#35
12.70.5
12.712.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0