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Red101
194623.6
478422.1
157445.6
Blue50
194217.9
194317.2
527310.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623205010015010150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.63.4
33.637.1
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 27.7
1942
#31
17.92.0
17.919.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
1946
#16
23.63.4
10.714.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
1943
#26
17.22.0
13.715.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
4784
#15
22.13.4
15.519.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 11.4
5273
#48
10.72.0
6.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0