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Red58
513510.2
529122.6
308315.6
Blue144
333952.0
431914.7
169028.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376805010015020058144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
18.719.9
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 29.4
52.06.1
36.042.1
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
Second
3083
#38
15.61.2
14.815.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 13.2
28.86.1
20.226.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5135
#43
10.21.3
9.310.6
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4319
#27
14.76.1
9.715.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0