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Red39
441610.8
459012.0
46614.9
Blue55
571515.5
195215.7
194419.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2445060801001201401603955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#44
12.00.8
13.814.7
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1944
#21
19.81.3
16.517.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4416
#46
10.80.8
8.08.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1952
#34
15.71.3
14.315.6
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4661
#51
4.90.8
6.77.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
blue by 10.5
5715
#37
15.51.3
13.114.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0