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Red22
57472.6
478422.1
513510.2
Blue50
157445.6
307511.9
15803.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305601001502250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4784
#15
22.11.0
19.018.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 23.5
45.60.3
37.136.8
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
5135
#43
10.21.0
10.69.6
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3075
#40
11.90.3
11.210.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5747
#54
2.61.0
5.24.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1580
#52
3.90.3
5.35.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0