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Red88
527310.7
503828.4
306527.7
Blue82
321118.3
221222.7
555426.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51490204060801008882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.42.8
24.126.9
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 2.3
26.12.4
22.024.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
3065
#11
27.72.8
20.022.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
2212
#10
22.72.4
13.415.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5273
#48
10.72.8
8.511.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 7.6
3211
#29
18.32.4
15.718.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0