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Red120
263021.2
157445.6
169028.8
Blue90
221613.0
221318.8
193726.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions873705010015020012090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.7
36.839.5
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 19.4
1937
#14
26.23.2
21.124.3
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
28.82.7
26.329.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 10.1
2213
#19
18.83.2
16.219.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
2630
#23
21.22.7
19.522.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 8.2
2216
#47
13.03.2
8.912.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0