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Red138
194623.6
432025.3
165739.4
Blue98
478422.1
306527.7
441610.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7643010015020013898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.44.7
35.840.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
3065
#11
27.73.5
22.826.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
25.34.7
21.225.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
4784
#15
22.13.5
18.021.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
1946
#16
23.64.7
16.321.0
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 12.8
4416
#46
10.83.5
8.812.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0