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Red81
223018.8
223133.7
474419.2
Blue123
221222.7
333952.0
440614.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636705010015020081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.1
29.730.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 18.3
52.03.9
42.146.0
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
Second
4744
#22
19.21.1
19.720.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2212
#10
22.73.9
15.819.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
2230
#24
18.81.1
17.018.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 4.6
4406
#25
14.23.9
10.914.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0