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Red41
321118.3
267917.9
527310.7
Blue19
43382.7
194317.2
565414.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482304060801001201404119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#29
18.30.1
18.118.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.1
1943
#26
17.20.6
19.418.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
2679
#18
17.90.1
16.916.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.7
5654
#49
14.20.6
8.47.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
5273
#48
10.70.1
11.211.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 8.0
4338
#55
2.70.6
0.2-0.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0