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Red10
475712.7
307511.9
471210.7
Blue2
459012.0
464911.2
303418.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40430100150200102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4757
#35
12.72.3
16.414.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3034
#30
18.32.2
17.915.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
3075
#40
11.92.3
10.98.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4590
#44
12.02.2
14.712.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
4712
#45
10.72.3
14.412.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4649
#42
11.22.2
11.89.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.2
End0.0