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Red86
331624.3
157615.9
338822.7
Blue60
513510.2
431914.7
503828.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445101001502008660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#20
24.32.8
17.019.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 4.1
28.40.6
26.927.4
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
3388
#17
22.72.8
17.720.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 8.1
4319
#27
14.70.6
15.716.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1576
#28
15.92.8
12.415.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
5135
#43
10.20.6
9.610.2
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0