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Red64
195411.5
157727.8
157445.6
Blue15
567012.1
195215.7
169028.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79600501001502006415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.0
39.538.5
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 16.8
28.83.3
29.025.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
1577
#13
27.81.1
25.524.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 12.1
1952
#34
15.73.3
19.015.7
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
1954
#36
11.51.1
14.113.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5670
#33
12.13.6
17.313.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0