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Red38
571515.5
221318.8
527310.7
Blue78
432025.3
333952.0
529122.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351020501502002503003878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2213
#19
18.80.6
19.318.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 33.2
52.01.1
46.044.9
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
Second
5715
#37
15.50.6
16.015.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 9.8
25.31.1
25.924.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
5273
#48
10.70.6
11.310.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 11.9
22.61.1
23.322.1
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0