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Red57
165739.4
321118.3
56363.4
Blue94
193726.2
303418.3
194623.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60592040801005794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.4
40.540.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
1937
#14
26.22.6
24.326.9
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3211
#29
18.30.4
18.217.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
1946
#16
23.62.6
21.023.6
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
5636
#53
3.40.4
3.83.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 14.9
3034
#30
18.32.6
15.718.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0