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Red75
223133.7
464911.2
563512.4
Blue74
157615.9
503828.4
478422.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476501001502007574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.6
30.832.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
28.40.7
27.428.1
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
5635
#39
12.41.6
10.812.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
4784
#15
22.10.7
21.522.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
4649
#42
11.21.6
9.611.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1576
#28
15.90.7
15.215.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0