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Red22
567012.1
194317.2
195411.5
Blue14
57472.6
223018.8
431914.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060801001201402214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#26
17.21.6
18.717.2
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2230
#24
18.81.6
18.016.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
5670
#33
12.11.6
13.612.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4319
#27
14.71.6
16.314.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1954
#36
11.51.6
13.011.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 8.9
5747
#54
2.61.6
4.22.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0