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Red86
331624.3
43382.7
169028.8
Blue44
458626.0
459012.0
474419.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40600501001508644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.82.9
25.628.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
4586
#12
26.01.0
26.525.5
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
3316
#20
24.33.1
19.823.0
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
4744
#22
19.20.9
20.119.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4338
#55
2.73.1
-0.42.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 9.3
4590
#44
12.01.0
12.511.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0