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Red177
303937.1
393746.6
394619.4
Blue166
36435.9
45645.6
192726.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89985001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000177166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.5
44.145.6
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
456
#3
45.61.1
43.744.7
Auto0.1
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3039
#10
37.12.0
33.835.7
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 1.2
364
#8
35.91.5
33.234.7
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
3946
#42
19.42.0
16.118.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1927
#29
26.31.5
23.625.1
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0