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Red160
303937.1
393746.6
394619.4
Blue158
36435.9
45645.6
192726.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9997406080120140160180160158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.0
45.646.6
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
456
#3
45.60.9
44.745.6
Auto0.1
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3039
#10
37.11.3
35.737.1
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 1.2
364
#8
35.91.2
34.735.9
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
3946
#42
19.41.3
18.019.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1927
#29
26.31.2
25.126.3
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0