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Red18
331027.2
40537.6
219013.1
Blue7
192726.3
303937.1
578510.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350206080187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.2
15.614.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 9.8
3039
#10
37.12.6
13.611.0
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
2190
#33
13.11.6
13.111.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 13.2
1927
#29
26.32.6
16.113.5
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
4053
#53
7.61.6
8.26.7
Auto0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5785
#25
10.24.3
10.25.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0