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Red66
3426.2
36435.9
435310.4
Blue7
458717.9
45168.9
207812.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350206080667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#8
35.93.1
21.724.8
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 18.0
4587
#28
17.92.0
14.012.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
34
#9
26.23.1
10.613.7
Auto1.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 13.8
2078
#47
12.52.0
10.99.0
Auto0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4353
#30
10.43.1
8.411.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 1.5
4516
#51
8.91.5
11.910.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0