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Red9
394619.4
433615.6
191220.3
Blue23
333711.7
350215.9
361631.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173050100150200923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#17
20.30.5
12.111.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 10.9
3616
#16
31.22.5
29.927.4
Auto0.0
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
3946
#42
19.40.7
9.68.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 3.5
3502
#57
15.92.7
25.222.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4336
#26
15.60.7
8.37.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
3337
#50
11.72.7
12.29.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.2
End0.0