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Red70
417916.4
208017.4
458717.9
Blue56
192726.3
48059.3
28177.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302601020405060707056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#28
17.93.3
12.015.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1927
#29
26.32.4
13.515.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
2080
#37
17.42.0
13.215.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 8.1
4805
#44
9.32.4
6.08.4
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
4179
#15
16.43.3
5.48.7
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 8.8
2817
#48
7.62.4
7.810.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0