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Red45
5908.0
219013.1
393746.6
Blue10
350215.9
18184.9
532518.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060801004510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.1
28.828.8
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
red by 28.2
5325
#22
18.42.6
11.38.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
2190
#33
13.10.1
11.511.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3502
#57
15.91.7
22.520.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
590
#35
8.00.1
5.65.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop8.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
1818
#55
4.92.6
7.24.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0