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Qual 212015 Bayou Regional
Red0
417916.4
41079.5
40537.6
Blue50
331027.2
435310.4
208017.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34420100200300400500600050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4179
#15Sur
16.42.5
8.7→6.2
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 10.9
3310
#7Sur
27.20.4
17.8→18.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
4107
#34
9.52.5
18.1→15.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 7.9
2080
#37
17.40.4
15.1→15.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4053
#53
7.62.5
9.7→7.2
Auto0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4353
#30
10.40.6
9.3→9.9
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0