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Red81
532518.4
162225.0
431610.9
Blue87
395934.7
394619.4
28177.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304801001502008187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#12
25.02.4
17.219.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 9.6
34.72.0
28.530.5
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
5325
#22
18.43.9
8.812.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3946
#42
19.43.3
8.511.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
4316
#54
10.93.9
7.911.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 3.3
2817
#48
7.63.3
10.213.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0