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Red158
3426.2
53821.6
238351.3
Blue91
360619.3
191220.3
541616.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711705010015015891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.34.7
36.040.7
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 31.0
1912
#17
20.33.2
10.513.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
34
#9
26.27.8
16.624.3
Auto1.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 6.9
3606
#19
19.35.4
8.513.9
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
538
#11
21.67.8
12.420.1
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
5416
#23
16.65.4
7.012.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0