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Red18
207812.5
34687.5
222112.0
Blue2
218315.5
45536.9
350215.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348020406080100120140160182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2078
#47
12.50.4
7.68.1
Auto0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
3502
#57
15.91.8
20.819.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
2221
#38
12.00.4
8.48.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2183
#40
15.53.0
12.39.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3468
#59
7.50.4
2.83.2
Auto0.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
4553
#49
6.93.0
10.87.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0