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Red47
408715.8
303937.1
435310.4
Blue90
142121.6
578510.2
384718.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275501001502004790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#10
37.11.2
10.111.3
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 15.4
1421
#18
21.63.1
24.327.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
4087
#20
15.81.2
12.113.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3847
#21
18.31.9
20.822.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4353
#30
10.41.2
9.911.2
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
5785
#25
10.23.1
7.310.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0