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Red52
433615.6
258735.1
360619.3
Blue58
222112.0
45536.9
431610.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482404060801001201405258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.5
20.921.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
red by 23.1
2221
#38
12.02.5
8.911.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Second
3606
#19
19.30.5
13.914.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
4316
#54
10.92.5
11.914.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
4336
#26
15.60.5
11.612.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
4553
#49
6.92.5
7.810.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0