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Red71
375324.4
394619.4
45168.9
Blue149
417916.4
299217.1
238351.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286305010015020071149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#27DQ
24.43.5
13.116.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 26.9
51.34.5
40.745.1
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
3946
#42
19.43.5
11.815.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
2992
#36
17.17.5
12.820.2
Auto0.7
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4516
#51
8.92.1
9.912.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4179
#15
16.47.5
6.213.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0