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Qual 42015 Bayou Regional
Red28
459222.1
18184.9
361631.2
Blue0
299217.1
28177.6
360619.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61290204080100120140160280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
31.21.5
31.4→29.9
Auto0.0
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 11.8
3606
#19
19.30.9
9.8→8.9
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
4592
#14
22.11.5
17.4→15.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 5.0
2992
#36
17.10.9
16.8→15.9
Auto0.7
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
1818
#55
4.92.0
9.1→7.2
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2817
#48
7.60.9
8.7→7.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0