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Red4
48059.3
420910.8
39916.8
Blue2
162225.0
34687.5
142121.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253010015042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4209
#39
10.82.0
8.76.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 14.2
1622
#12
25.02.9
19.416.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
4805
#44
9.32.0
7.96.0
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 12.3
1421
#18
21.64.0
21.917.9
Auto0.0
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
3991
#56
6.82.0
10.88.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3468
#59
7.54.0
8.84.8
Auto0.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0